Tag Archives: uncertainty

How likely is it that we have a future

How likely do you think the chances are that our high tech civilization will last? [ 12/July/22 ] My best estimate is slightly better than even chances – about 60/40. And that requires that most people are able to get … Continue reading

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Existential risk and risk mitigation

Extinction risk [ 31/May/22 ] That whole set of premises is just wrong.Churchill’s essay is founded on false premises – but his understanding of logic was so poor that he failed to see it – blinded by accepted truths that … Continue reading

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Properties of reality

What properties can be attributed to the physical universe? [ 31/May/22 ] One can attribute any set of characteristics to the physical universe; the question becomes:How accurately do those characteristics relate to the physical universe across what set of contexts? … Continue reading

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Human nature and survival

Elon, Twitter, and the survival of intelligence [ 27/April/22 Lifeboat – Kumardev Chatterjee shared a link. Sean Brazell responded “It’s not JUST free speech that’s important. It’s TRUTH and the ability of a people to recognize its ABSENCE and act … Continue reading

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War on reality

The War on Reality, Mary Harrington & Paul Kingsnorth [ 26/April/22 ] Some very good ideas, and also some serious errors. [Paul on limits]I definitely acknowledge that there are limits, and that we need the natural world; and unless we … Continue reading

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Science

Sciences and Fiction [ 31/March/22 Walter Smith in Foundations of Logic asked:Choose 1 or 2 or 3:1.Everything that is not part of sciences is based on fictionor2.Everything that is not based on sciences is fictionor3.?] 3 Science is a process, … Continue reading

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Laws, understanding, choice

Laws of physics [ 25/Feb/22 Wojtek Karas quoted J. Warner Wallace:“Physical brain failure”the laws of physics;mental conditions are subject tothe laws of logic. Those who are the ones whothink there are mental conditionsPure physical, represent oneLogically contradictoryPoint of view. To … Continue reading

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Different truths

Different Truths [ 18/January/22 ] Dan Dennett seems to me to be closer than most others, but his model is still too simplistic, as it has more recursive layers of the same theme, and it is definitely in the right … Continue reading

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Quantum logic

Is there a quantum logic [ 28/November/21 Is there a quantum logic?Yes or no?(If yes, what are the principles (dogmas?) of this quantum logic?)] It is much more complex than that. Different forms of logics can exist based on different … Continue reading

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Critique of Keller on faith and belief

Al posted a quote from Timothy Keller [ 5/November/21 ] Keller is not being as accurate as is required in his writing. All of my views are probability based, and I didn’t start out that way. Like everyone I necessarily … Continue reading

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