Quora – chances of living to 120 years old

What are the statistical chances that a person alive today will live to be 120 years old?

My best guess, about 0.7 (70%).

And most of that comes from the likelihood of any significant number of people surviving the various crises that are likely in the next 20 or so years – which I am reasonably optimistic about, and give us about 0.7 probability.

If we do that, then for me the likelihood of everyone having access to indefinite life extension is about 0.99 beyond that point (it is an element of what seems to be the highest probability survival strategy through the various crises coming – economic and technological and political).

About Ted Howard NZ

Seems like I might be a cancer survivor. Thinking about the systemic incentives within the world we find ourselves in, and how we might adjust them to provide an environment that supports everyone (no exceptions) - see www.tedhowardnz.com/money
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