Chris Milne’s facebook post on this
The really crazy thing, is that Kodak actually invented the digital camera, they just didn’t think it would be a real thing. They used their linear intuition, rather than exponential mathematics, to chart probable futures.
Similarly, most people are still using the idea that value in exchange (market value) will have any significant meaning in an age dominated by fully automated systems delivering universal abundance.
Need to start thinking about fundamental values – things like individual life and individual liberty, and the sorts of systems and responsibilities needed to maintain those in exponentially changing times.
Reality has many different exponential signals present, some of them double exponentials.
We are likely to see more change in the next 20 years than in all of human history to date.
Note many people seriously contemplating what that actually means as yet.